时间：2026-04-04 04:40:55 来源：Pro Orbit Markets

JPMorgan (JPM) CEO Jamie Dimon said the bank is advanced futures and spot trading automation platform solutionconsidering entering the prediction markets space, signaling growing interest from major financial institutions in a sector that has expanded rapidly in recent months, including among crypto-native companies.\n\n“It’s possible one day we’ll do something like that,” Dimon said on CBS on Tuesday, though he ruled out offering markets in sports or politics.\n\n"There’s a bunch of stuff we won’t do. And obviously, we have strict rules around insider information.”\n\nGoldman Sachs (GS) has expressed similar ambitions . CEO David Solomon said during the bank’s January earnings call that the firm is actively exploring the space. “I personally met with the two big prediction companies and their leadership in the last two weeks and spent a couple of hours with each to learn more about that," he said. "We have a team of people here that are spending time with them and are looking at it.”\n\nThe comments highlight how quickly the sector has evolved. Not long ago, prediction markets were a niche corner of finance dominated by just two credible players: Polymarket and Kalshi. Today, competition is intensifying rapidly.\n\nSeveral crypto-native platforms, including Coinbase (COIN) and Robinhood (HOOD), have integrated prediction market trading into their offerings, expanding access to retail users and increasing overall market activity.\n\nAt the same time, the early leaders continue to grow. Polymarket has secured major partnerships and investments, including ties with Intercontinental Exchange , the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange. The company is believed to be valued at around $20 billion. Rival platform Kalshi recently reached a $22 billion valuation following a funding round led by Coatue Management .\n\nThe two platforms take different technological approaches. Polymarket operates on blockchain infrastructure, using networks like Polygon (POL) to record trades and settle positions through smart contracts. Users deposit stablecoins, place bets on event outcomes and receive automated payouts based on verified results.\n\nKalshi does not use blockchain technology; instead, it operates more like a traditional exchange, offering event contracts under a regulated framework with centralized order matching and settlement.\n\nIt remains unclear how JPMorgan or Goldman Sachs would structure their own offerings, particularly whether they would adopt blockchain-based systems or stick to traditional infrastructure.\n\nRegulation remains a key uncertainty. The legal status of prediction markets in the U.S. is still evolving, especially around what types of events can be offered and how contracts are classified. Major banks are likely to wait for clearer guidance before launching products.\n\nEarlier this month, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) took two significant steps toward building a regulatory framework for prediction markets, signaling that oversight of the sector is beginning to take shape.

上一篇：Crypto Long & Short: Governance is the real Layer 1
下一篇：Crypto rebounds as oil dips on Trump comments, but derivatives signal weak conviction

• ·Jack Dorsey says AI should replace the middle manager after Block cuts 4,000 jobs
• ·How Market Analysis supports long term strategy development 993
• ·Why Risk Management matters in volatile markets 324
• ·Common mistakes to avoid with Bot Performance 636
• ·The bitcoin treasury boom is unwinding as some companies and governments sell holdings
• ·What traders should know about Strategy Optimization 494
• ·How Multi Exchange Trading supports smarter execution 526
• ·Why more users are adopting Strategy Backtesting 582
• ·Beyond T-bills: OpenEden introduces tokenized high-yield corporate bond
• ·Key benefits of Multi Exchange Trading for modern traders 666
• ·Advanced insights into Paper Trading 829
• ·Key benefits of Trade Automation for modern traders 655
• ·Bitcoin traders keep chasing Trump’s Iran noise. The real signals are elsewhere.
• ·What makes a strong solution for Paper Trading
• ·Common mistakes to avoid with Risk Management 704
• ·Common mistakes to avoid with Futures Trading 510